Polling News

Factors Driving Party-Leaning Independent Voters

July 07, 2016

A new Pew Research Center analysis points out that last election cycle, more Americans identified as “independents” (39%) than Democrats (32%) or Republicans (23%).  Of those independents, 17% leaned Democratic, while 16% leaned Republican.

Pew suggested the biggest reason most independent voters (55% of GOP leaners and 51% of Democratic leaners) lean to a party was because they considered the policies of the other party to be “bad for the country.”  Just 30% of Republican leaners and 34% of Democratic leaners said they sided with their party because they agreed with its policies. 

Why did these leaners still claim to “independents?”  According to Pew, they refused to identify as party members because of frustration with their party’s leadership (52% of GOP leaners and 28% of Democratic leaners) and/or they disagree with that party on important issues (40% of GOP leaners and 33% of Democratic leaners). 

Independents are a key – if not the key – swing bloc every election and both parties have opportunities to win over the group in 2016.  The winning candidate is likely to be the one that does a better job of discouraging voters from supporting the other party while diminishing their hesitancy to supporting the candidate.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
June 11, 2026 |
Polling News
As the country prepares to celebrate on July 4th the 250th anniversary of its founding, confidence in the American Dream is at an all-time low, according to a new AP-NORC poll. These numbers are largely driven by economic confidence, or lack thereof. ...
Placeholder polling news
June 04, 2026 |
Polling News
MTV reality-star Spencer Pratt set the internet ablaze with his creative AI videos that sparked conversations from Hollywood, CA to Huntsville, AL. ...
Placeholder polling news
May 28, 2026 |
Polling News
Democrats have led on the Generic Ballot for the last few months. This isn’t surprising, given that history generally favors the party out-of-power in a Midterm Election. ...
Placeholder polling news
May 21, 2026 |
Polling News
The electorate has shifted over the last ten years, in large part because of the changing allegiances of white non-college-educated working-class voters. ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance