A recent poll from the Pew Research Center found that if the election were held today, most voters who turned out in 2020 would show up for the same candidate in 2024, while voter discouragement with both candidates continues to be a problem for both Biden and Trump.
By The Numbers:
The Bottom Line: Many voters who turned out in 2020 are putting on the same jerseys for 2024. Without different options, they’re sticking with their choice from four years ago. That many cause both candidates to focus more on persuading new voters or those who didn’t turn out in 2020 or reinforcing those who’ve already defected from their 2020 choice. However, all that still may not be enough. Peeling off lukewarm backers of the other guy from 2020–convincing them to change their vote in 2024–will be a heavier life, but necessary for victory in November.
