The theory that the Harris-Walz ticket and Democrats would perform better than Trump-Vance in the suburbs was proven false with President Donald Trump’s resounding win this week. According to a New York Times analysis of the results, most of the nation’s 3,000-plus counties swung right compared to the 2020 election, especially in the seven swing states. 
By The Numbers:
The urban core counties, major suburbs, medium metros, and small cities and rural areas shifted right in Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.
The urban core counties, medium metros, and small cities and rural areas shifted right in North Carolina and Wisconsin, while major suburbs slightly (<1) shifted left.
Arizona and Nevada still have votes being counted but both states saw the similar shift to the right in the small cities and rural areas. It is likely the case as well with major suburbs and medium metros, as well as the urban core counties.
The Bottom Line: Not only did Trump improve his 2020 performance in rural areas and small cities, he did so in suburbs and urban areas as well. At the same time, Harris underperformed in the suburbs and urban areas. At day’s end, voters in every kind of community were concerned about the economy. They voted with their pocket books whether they were in downtown Detroit or Amish Country. Democrats need some serious soul searching in the months to come.
