Polling News

Americans’ Expectations for Key Economic Factors

February 12, 2026

Americans are more optimistic about the stock market and economic growth and more pessimistic about unemployment and inflation. These recent Gallup numbers paint a mixed picture for the six months leading up to the Midterm Elections.

By The Numbers: 

  • Seventeen percent of Americans said they think the stock market will “go up a lot” in the next six months; 33% said it will “go up a little;” 17% said it will remain the same, 17% said it will “go down a little” and 8% said it will “go down a lot.”
     

  • Seventeen percent said economic growth will “go up a lot;” 32% said it will “go up a little;” 13% said it will stay the same; 21% said it will “go down a little;” and 15% said it will “go down a lot.”
     

  • Twenty-three percent said they think unemployment will “go up a lot;” 27% said it will “go up a little;” 16% said it will stay the same; 22% said it will “go down a little;” and only 10% said it will “go down a lot.”
     

  • Thirty-one percent said they think inflation will “go up a lot;” 31% said it will “go up a little;” only 9% said it will stay the same; 19% said it will “go down a little;” and just 7% said it will “go down a lot.”

The Bottom Line: While Americans are optimistic about the broader economic climate, with more believing there will be an improved stock market, lower interest rates, and more economic growth, they are still worried about their own immediate economic situation. This is a positive start, but the overall mood needs to shift in a positive direction on what voters are feeling when it comes to jobs and inflation.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
August 20, 2026 |
Polling News
Many hypothesize about which major political issue, economic factor, candidate attribute, or approval rating will decide the 2026 midterms. One thing is certain: voters are angry, frustrated, and distrustful of those in power. They want to know candidates...
Placeholder polling news
August 13, 2026 |
Polling News
President Donald Trump’s approval rating has been stagnant over the last few months but is lower than it was at this point in 2018 and lower than most other recent presidents at this point in their terms, according to data from the Pew Research Center. Ad...
Placeholder polling news
August 06, 2026 |
Polling News
Radical progressive Abdul El-Sayed's victory over the more moderate Haley Stevens in this week's Michigan Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is the latest example of the Democratic Party's civil war. While far-left, socialist-sympathizing candidates k...
Placeholder polling news
July 30, 2026 |
Polling News
The last two weeks have seen a flurry of polls that should make every Republican candidate nervous about the Midterm Election. ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance