Polling News

Democrats Gain on Key Issues

September 17, 2026

The latest New York Times/Siena generic ballot poll found Democrats maintaining a strong lead. More concerning for Republicans, the poll found that likely voters are growing more confident in Democrats on key issues that will decide their vote this November.

By The Numbers:

  • Fifty-one percent of likely voters said that they are more likely to vote for the Democrat candidate for Congress, while just 43% said they are more likely to vote for the Republican candidate for Congress. That’s close to the latest RealClearPolitics.com aggregate of 49.8% Democrat to 41.7% Republican.
     

  • Democrats now have an advantage on issues Republicans once dominated: immigration (D+7), the economy (D+7), foreign wars (D+7), cost of living (D+8), and the deficit (D+10). They also strengthened their position on health care (D+24)

  • Republicans only hold an advantage on artificial intelligence (R+2), an issue that will continue to cause concern and attention over the next few weeks.

The Bottom Line: The silver lining for Republicans is that Democrats have not yet closed the sale that they are better at handling issues like the economy and cost of living. Fringe DSA candidates complicate that message further in key states and congressional districts. Still, Republicans must get back their footing on these kitchen table issues that will decide the November election.

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